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Market Outlook: February
This year managed to get off to a positive start with equity markets recovering some of the losses endured at the end of 2018. This recovery was largely due to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) taking a U-turn on monetary policy.
Q4 2018 market and funds update
Global markets were seeped in volatility in Q4 as the combination of trade tensions, rising interest rates, Brexit and European politics proved too much for markets in October.
Market Outlook: March
Since the Federal Reserve (Fed) paused interest rate hikes, markets have been taking a ‘wait-and-see’ approach, leading to a recovery in equity valuations and a period of relative calm. But with inflation pressures still evident in both the US and UK, and the outlook for growth looking uncertain, our focus is on three potential scenarios as the year progresses.
Watch: Global equity markets, a tale of two halves
Global equity markets during 2018 were a tale of two halves. After an initially strong start, a number of macro concerns – especially those around emerging markets – impacted how we’ve positioned the Sanlam Global High Quality Fund. We provide some perspective on some of these concerns, and on what investors may expect for the remainder of 2019.
Market Outlook: June
As we find ourselves almost halfway through the year, the volatility we experienced at the end of 2018 is not only a distant memory but could also prove, with time, to have been the shock markets needed to adjust their expectations in line with reality.
Global equity market perspective
The Fed’s momentous U-Turn on monetary policy which began in December sparked a New Year equity rally, reversing some of the losses from the final quarter of 2018. Jerome Powell’s optimistic outlook on the US economy last October had precipitated market turbulence as investors anticipated further rate rises.
There’s a disturbance in the (economic) force
Like any chemistry teacher will tell you, equilibrium isn’t always the optimum state. It can lack energy, opportunity and excitement. The relative calm of equity markets over the last few years may have led to happy investors, but it was driven by artificially low interest rates and, at some point, something had to give.
Rising bond yields: Friend or foe?
Traditionally, when bond yields rise equity markets fall as investors take advantage of higher returns for less risk. And in the last few weeks, we’ve seen just that. US interest rates increased, bond yields followed suit and equity markets became agitated.
Why now is not the time to change your investment strategy
According to reports, investors have withdrawn 3% of their equity investments so far this year, which is twice the amount withdrawn at the height of the 2008 financial crisis. When negative sentiment is abundant and investment risks are at large, the temptation is to cut and run for the shelter of ‘safer’ assets.
Keeping a close eye on inflation
Amid strong global economic growth and positive market sentiment, it would be premature to talk of an economic downturn. But with US inflation above target and set to increase further, interest rates on the rise and ongoing talk of a trade war, it’s important to look beyond the current economic cycle.
Capital protection is key as global growth slows
As 2018 draws to a close, we’re taking a slightly more defensive position on behalf of our clients, with capital protection underpinning many of our investment decisions. Here we explain why we’ve further reduced our exposure to equities, and what we see as the key risks to economic growth going forward.
Is the bull about to enter the china shop?
The US economy recently celebrated a significant milestone – the longest bull market in history. The S&P 500 is double the value it was during the highs prior to the credit crunch and has risen nearly 250% since the lows that followed. History suggests that the end of this current cycle is nigh but predicting when that will be is incredibly difficult.

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